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The future of the city and Robocar Oriented Development
It’s been a while since I’ve done a major new article on long-term consequences of Robocars. For some time I’ve been puzzling over just how our urban spaces will change because of robocars. There are a...
View ArticleA collection of thoughts
A variety of things that may not have immediately come to mind:Downtowns become more attractive to visit via robocar, by both suburbanites and "uptowners," when you don't need to find and/or pay for...
View ArticleCould be a huge development boom for mall owners!
Given the amount of land around the current malls their owners could (depending on location) make a reasonably large amount of money redeveloping the land for housing and office space. Which in turn...
View ArticleTo answer many notes
Yes, a number of things I have addressed in other essays.Initially, parking will still cost plenty in CBDs. As robocars start parking outside the CBD to save money, the market will adjust prices to...
View ArticleTransit and robotaxis in urban areas
In less urban areas robot vans for transit might make more sense than in urban areas. In San Francisco very few bus lines don't see full busses at several points during the day. This applies not just...
View ArticleTransit
I’m writing this up in more detail elsewhere, but…As we move to higher robocar density we can get a lot more traffic capacity on the roads, especially with half-width 1-2 person vehicles. At rush hour...
View ArticleChasm jumping
"As we move to higher robocar density"There's a chasm that seems to keep getting jumped without looking at the distance between the edges.A lot of your replies are very pie-in-the-sky: "half-width 1-2...
View ArticleCrossing the chasm
I agree, it’s a fault of mine that I jump around in time like that. I have a long-term vision painted out and I should be more careful about what stages in it I am talking about. However, the path is...
View ArticleClaims and synergies
"presuming [robocars are] a tech which gets [an] adoption curve similar to the late-20th century curves of new computer related technologies. That is not a small claim"Indeed, I think you are being...
View ArticleThe synergies are good
I have been talking about these synergies with planes more than with trains though, because of how short most train trips are, notably urban trains. It gets better if you can do just-in-time...
View ArticleDoing the math
On another note, one thing I would like to model is “what’s the optimal size of a transit vehicle?” — in particular if, like in today’s systems you can have only one. (Not quite for trains which can...
View ArticleAll the Technophiles here forgot about the &^%$# Lawyers
I hate to dump a lot of cold water on this very cool technology, but when the first passenger gets killed in a robot car, the lawsuits will bankrupt the companies who designed it, built it, and/or sold...
View ArticleA collection of thoughts
In reply to The future of the city and Robocar Oriented DevelopmentA variety of things that may not have immediately come to mind:Downtowns become more attractive to visit via robocar, by both...
View ArticleCould be a huge development boom for mall owners!
In reply to The future of the city and Robocar Oriented DevelopmentGiven the amount of land around the current malls their owners could (depending on location) make a reasonably large amount of money...
View ArticleTo answer many notes
In reply to A collection of thoughtsYes, a number of things I have addressed in other essays.Initially, parking will still cost plenty in CBDs. As robocars start parking outside the CBD to save money,...
View ArticleTransit and robotaxis in urban areas
In reply to To answer many notesIn less urban areas robot vans for transit might make more sense than in urban areas. In San Francisco very few bus lines don't see full busses at several points during...
View ArticleTransit
In reply to Transit and robotaxis in urban areasI'm writing this up in more detail elsewhere, but...As we move to higher robocar density we can get a lot more traffic capacity on the roads, especially...
View ArticleChasm jumping
In reply to Transit"As we move to higher robocar density"There's a chasm that seems to keep getting jumped without looking at the distance between the edges.A lot of your replies are very...
View ArticleCrossing the chasm
In reply to Chasm jumpingI agree, it's a fault of mine that I jump around in time like that. I have a long-term vision painted out and I should be more careful about what stages in it I am talking...
View ArticleClaims and synergies
In reply to Crossing the chasm"presuming [robocars are] a tech which gets [an] adoption curve similar to the late-20th century curves of new computer related technologies. That is not a small...
View Article